Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 28, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Estrela Amadora1 - 4Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Farense 0-0 Estrela Amadora
Friday, December 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, December 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Arouca 3-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, December 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, December 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Arouca
While Estrela have either won or lost every home game this term, Thursday could be the exception, with both sides likely to cancel each other out in gameweek 15's encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Arouca |
33.85% ( 0.04) | 26.95% ( 0) | 39.19% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.81% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
