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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Stuttgart

Freiburg
1 - 3
Stuttgart

Kubler (45+11')
Streich (21'), Ginter (41'), Eggestein (45+4'), Kubler (90'), Philipp (90+9')
Rohl (18')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Undav (3'), Fuhrich (7'), Mittelstadt (74')
Mittelstadt (72'), Stiller (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 3-1 Freiburg
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 5-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Stuttgart

Stuttgart have lost three on the trot on their travels, and that could become four losses in succession against a Freiburg team that are undefeated at the Europa-Park Stadion since mid-September, with that 4-2 loss to Dortmund still the club's only home Bundesliga reverse this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawStuttgart
44.13% (0.458 0.46) 23.26% (0.064 0.06) 32.6% (-0.523 -0.52)
Both teams to score 63.09% (-0.454 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.71% (-0.508 -0.51)38.29% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.43% (-0.541 -0.54)60.57% (0.53899999999999 0.54)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)17.76% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.53% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)48.46% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.72% (-0.536 -0.54)23.27% (0.536 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.79% (-0.787 -0.79)57.2% (0.785 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 44.13%
    Stuttgart 32.6%
    Draw 23.26%
FreiburgDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 9% (0.065 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.167 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.17% (0.141 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 44.13%
1-1 @ 10.41% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.099 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.84% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.03% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.6%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Stuttgart

Freiburg
57.9%
Draw
21.1%
Stuttgart
21.1%
57
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
5-0
Freiburg
Fuhrich (8', 62'), Guirassy (17', 19'), Millot (75')
Ito (38')

Philipp (86')
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Freiburg
2-1
Stuttgart
Grifo (60' pen., 84' pen.)
Fuhrich (30')
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
0-1
Freiburg

Sosa (15'), Fuhrich (28'), Ahamada (46'), Mavropanos (90+8')
Grifo (11')
Sallai (28'), Keitel (84')
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Freiburg
2-0
Stuttgart
Ito (37' og.), Schade (72')
Hofler (24')

Sosa (90+4')
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
2-3
Freiburg
Mavropanos (45'), Al Ghaddioui (45+2')
Forster (13'), Klimowicz (55')
Woo-yeong (3', 9'), Holer (28')
Schade (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern20163162194351
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen20136149272245
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt20115445271838
4RB Leipzig209653429533
5Stuttgart209563730732
6Mainz 05Mainz209473324931
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach209383230230
8Werder Bremen208663436-230
9Freiburg209382736-930
10Wolfsburg208574335829
11Borussia DortmundDortmund208573634229
12Augsburg207582435-1126
13St Pauli2063111822-421
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin205691627-1121
15Hoffenheim2046102640-1418
16Heidenheim2042142542-1714
17Holstein Kiel2033143152-2112
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum2024141744-2710


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