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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
44.13% ( 0.46) | 23.26% ( 0.06) | 32.6% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 63.09% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.71% ( -0.51) | 38.29% ( 0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.43% ( -0.54) | 60.57% ( 0.54) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.23% ( -0.02) | 17.76% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.53% ( -0.03) | 48.46% ( 0.03) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.72% ( -0.54) | 23.27% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.79% ( -0.79) | 57.2% ( 0.79) |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
2-1 @ 9% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.89% Total : 44.13% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
17 | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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