FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Northolme
Gainsborough2 - 2Boston
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Gainsborough Trinity and Boston United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barnet 3-1 Boston
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gainsborough Trinity win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gainsborough Trinity win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Boston United win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gainsborough Trinity | Draw | Boston United |
46.82% ( 0.17) | 24.58% ( 0.03) | 28.6% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 56.2% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.62% ( -0.25) | 46.38% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.34% ( -0.23) | 68.66% ( 0.23) |
Gainsborough Trinity Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.11% ( -0.03) | 19.89% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.99% ( -0.05) | 52.01% ( 0.05) |
Boston United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.15% ( -0.27) | 29.85% ( 0.27) |