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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Juventus logo

Genoa
1 - 1
Juventus

Gudmundsson (48')
Badelj (74'), Malinovskyi (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chiesa (28' pen.)
Danilo (61'), Allegri (62'), McKennie (70'), Milik (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 1-0 Genoa
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Napoli
Friday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Genoa 1-2 Juventus

Allegri's team are masters of securing a one-goal advantage, and while they may concede at the Marassi, Juventus should see off Genoa with a marginal victory to end the home side's three-game unbeaten sequence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawJuventus
34.97% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 28.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 36.37% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.84% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.36% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)60.64% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)80.72% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)32.74% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)69.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.16% (-0.029999999999987 -0.03)31.83% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.72% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)68.27% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 34.96%
    Juventus 36.37%
    Draw 28.65%
GenoaDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 11.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.44%
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.77%
3-0 @ 2.42% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.96%
1-1 @ 13.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.65%
0-1 @ 11.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 6.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 36.37%

How you voted: Genoa vs Juventus

Genoa
11.2%
Draw
9.5%
Juventus
79.3%
116
Head to Head
May 6, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 36
Genoa
2-1
Juventus
Gudmundsson (87'), Criscito (90+5' pen.)
Melegoni (43'), Badelj (78')
Dybala (48')
Dybala (29'), Rugani (34'), Arthur (44')
Dec 5, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Juventus
2-0
Genoa
Cuadrado (9'), Dybala (82')
Pellegrini (34'), Morata (72'), Kean (74')

Cambiaso (50')
Apr 11, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 30
Juventus
3-1
Genoa
Kulusevski (4'), Morata (22'), McKennie (70')
Cuadrado (20'), Kulusevski (37'), Sandro (82')
Scamacca (49')
Behrami (38'), Rovella (53'), Criscito (62')
Jan 13, 2021 7.45pm
Rounds of 16
Juventus
3-2
Genoa
Kulusevski (2'), Morata (23'), Rafia (105')
Bentancur (25'), Bernardeschi (120+1')
Czyborra (28'), Melegoni (74')
Dumbravanu (29'), Ghiglione (41'), Goldaniga (90+2'), Bani (116'), Rovella (119')
Dec 13, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 11
Genoa
1-3
Juventus
Sturaro (61')
Goldaniga (15'), Perin (88'), Bani (90+3')
Dybala (57'), Ronaldo (78' pen., 89')
Rabiot (2'), McKennie (78'), Bentancur (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli139222091129
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1391334161828
3Inter Milan1384131141728
4Fiorentina1384127101728
5Juventus136702171425
6Lazio1281325141125
7AC Milan125432014619
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino134361619-315
12Roma133461418-413
13Parma132651721-412
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona134091732-1512
15CagliariCagliari132561424-1011
16Genoa132561124-1311
17Como132471325-1210
18Monza131661116-59
19Lecce12237521-169
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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