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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 1pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Crawley Town

Gillingham
0 - 2
Crawley


Ehmer (12'), Malone (22')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wright (24'), Roles (71')
Wright (24'), Darcy (45+3'), Maguire (63'), Campbell (73'), Adeyemo (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Gillingham 1-0 Crawley Town

Goals have been hard to come by in this fixture of late, and we can see Tuesday's clash following suit. That said, we are backing Gillingham to get the better of their visitors and carry the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawCrawley Town
42.02% (-0.202 -0.2) 25.43% (0.111 0.11) 32.55% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.42% (-0.343 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69% (-0.45800000000001 -0.46)48.31% (0.457 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.418 -0.42)70.46% (0.417 0.42)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (-0.298 -0.3)22.88% (0.297 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (-0.44 -0.44)56.62% (0.439 0.44)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)28.14% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18% (-0.212 -0.21)63.82% (0.21100000000001 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 42.02%
    Crawley Town 32.55%
    Draw 25.43%
GillinghamDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 42.02%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.121 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.116 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.18% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 32.55%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Crawley

Gillingham
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Crawley Town
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Crawley
0-1
Gillingham

Kelly (53'), Darcy (90+6'), Addai (90+6')
Ransom (40' og.)
Ogie (3'), Alexander (90+3'), Malone (90+4')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 10, 2021 7.30pm
First Round
Crawley
2-2
Gillingham
Gillingham win 10-9 on penalties
Ashford (55'), Davies (90+7')
Francillette (74')
Sithole (3'), Phillips (90+5')
Ehmer (36')
Sep 8, 2020 5.30pm
Group Stage
Gillingham
2-1
Crawley
Coyle (41'), Oliver (50')
Woods (67')
Ferguson (78')
McNerney (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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