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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 1pm UK
CNG Stadium
Bradford City

Harrogate
3 - 0
Bradford

March (21'), Thomson (73' pen.), Oyegoke (79' og.)
Dooley (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wright (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 0-0 Harrogate
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-1 Bradford City

With both teams not in form, this match is difficult to predict, but each side can throw caution to the wind with relegation not a concern. Given that Bradford have lost three games in succession, we are giving the nod to Harrogate, albeit in a hard-fought fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawBradford City
23.33% (0.029 0.03) 23.21% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 53.45% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.71% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.31% (0.034999999999997 0.03)44.69% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95% (0.031999999999996 0.03)67.06% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (0.043999999999997 0.04)33.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (0.049000000000003 0.05)69.74% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33% (0.0040000000000049 0)16.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)46.55%
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 23.33%
    Bradford City 53.45%
    Draw 23.21%
Harrogate TownDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 6.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 6.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 23.33%
1-1 @ 10.93%
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.21%
0-1 @ 9.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.87% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 5.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.62%
0-4 @ 2.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 53.45%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Bradford

Harrogate Town
76.9%
Draw
7.7%
Bradford City
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Bradford
1-1
Harrogate
Walker (90+5')
Daly (78')
Odoh (33'), Oxley (90+2')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Nov 5, 2022 12.30pm
Oct 1, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 12
Harrogate
1-2
Bradford
Headley (47')
Cook (15' pen.), Wright (73')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Bradford
1-3
Harrogate
Foulds (12')
O'Connor (55')
Burrell (45+5'), Page (62'), Diamond (90')
Armstrong (55'), Thomson (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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