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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Bradford City |
20.27% ( 0.24) | 22.56% ( 0.27) | 57.17% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 53.57% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.53% ( -0.88) | 45.47% ( 0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.2% ( -0.84) | 67.8% ( 0.84) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.52% ( -0.26) | 36.47% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.74% ( -0.26) | 73.26% ( 0.26) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.33% ( -0.47) | 15.66% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.3% ( -0.88) | 44.7% ( 0.88) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.81% 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.75% Total : 20.27% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.55% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 6.12% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 6.07% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 2.84% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.42% Total : 57.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |