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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Oct 20, 2024 at 2am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
LA Galaxy

Houston
2 - 1
LA Galaxy

Ponce (44'), Steres (90+11')
Bassi (10'), Raines (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pec (90+6' pen.)
Paintsil (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Louis City 3-0 Houston
Sunday, October 6 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-1 Austin
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 2-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

LA Galaxy have come up with more than a few clutch results already this season, and while we have our doubts over whether they will win this match given their away record, we do feel that they will do enough to avoid defeat and secure the top seed in the West. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 56.19%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 22.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo in this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
56.19% (0.36199999999999 0.36) 21.25% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 22.55% (-0.372 -0.37)
Both teams to score 61.55% (-0.567 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.47% (-0.52 -0.52)36.52% (0.521 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.33% (-0.569 -0.57)58.67% (0.572 0.57)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.04% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)12.96% (0.065 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.55% (-0.13 -0.13)39.45% (0.132 0.13)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (-0.601 -0.6)29.28% (0.603 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (-0.745 -0.74)65.24% (0.747 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 56.19%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 22.55%
    Draw 21.25%
Houston DynamoDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.164 0.16)
1-0 @ 7.76% (0.179 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.63% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.4% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 4.07% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.76% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.08% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.13% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 56.19%
1-1 @ 9.53% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.8% (0.097 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.25%
1-2 @ 5.85% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 22.55%

How you voted: Houston vs LA Galaxy

Houston Dynamo
20.0%
Draw
26.7%
Los Angeles Galaxy
53.3%
15
Head to Head
May 26, 2024 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-1
Houston
Pec (44'), Puig (60')
Brugman (90+4')
Blessing (18')
Sep 3, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
0-0
Houston
Edwards (34')
Steres (38'), Caicedo (55'), Quinones (64'), Artur (90+8')
Apr 9, 2023 1.30am
Oct 9, 2022 10pm
rhs 2.0
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