Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 56.19%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 22.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo in this match.