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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Birmingham City |
53.46% ( -0.09) | 23.88% ( 0.2) | 22.66% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 52.73% ( -0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.75% ( -0.94) | 48.25% ( 0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.6% ( -0.86) | 70.4% ( 0.86) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.02% ( -0.38) | 17.98% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.17% ( -0.66) | 48.83% ( 0.66) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.29% ( -0.62) | 35.71% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.51% ( -0.64) | 72.48% ( 0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.48% Total : 53.45% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 22.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 32 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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