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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Birmingham City |
53.46% ( -0.09) | 23.88% ( 0.2) | 22.66% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 52.73% ( -0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.75% ( -0.94) | 48.25% ( 0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.6% ( -0.86) | 70.4% ( 0.86) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.02% ( -0.38) | 17.98% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.17% ( -0.66) | 48.83% ( 0.66) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.29% ( -0.62) | 35.71% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.51% ( -0.64) | 72.48% ( 0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.48% Total : 53.45% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 22.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 39 |
8 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
9 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 20 |
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