Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 47.76%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
Result | ||
Leganes | Draw | Las Palmas |
47.76% ( -0.03) | 28.55% ( 0.06) | 23.69% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 41.05% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.94% ( -0.19) | 64.06% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.77% ( -0.14) | 83.23% ( 0.14) |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.89% ( -0.11) | 27.1% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.51% ( -0.14) | 62.49% ( 0.13) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.31% ( -0.15) | 43.69% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.14% ( -0.12) | 79.86% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Leganes | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 15.45% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 47.76% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.55% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 16 | 27 | 34 |
2 | Real Madrid | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 33 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Villarreal | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Mallorca | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
8 | GironaGirona | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
11 | Sevilla | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 15 |
15 | Leganes | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 14 |
17 | Getafe | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 13 |
18 | Espanyol | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |