Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 38.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.87%) and 0-2 (4.95%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.