Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maidenhead United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
40.77% ( -1.4) | 24.95% ( -0.08) | 34.29% ( 1.48) |
Both teams to score 57.56% ( 0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.24% ( 0.77) | 45.76% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.92% ( 0.72) | 68.08% ( -0.72) |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.62% ( -0.34) | 22.38% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.12% ( -0.51) | 55.88% ( 0.51) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.16% ( 1.27) | 25.85% ( -1.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.19% ( 1.69) | 60.82% ( -1.68) |
Score Analysis |
Maidenhead United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 40.77% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.95% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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