Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille1 - 0Benfica
The Match
Match Report
Marseille hold their nerve to beat Benfica 4-2 on penalties to set up a Europa League semi-final clash against Atalanta BC.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Marseille and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Benfica 2-1 Marseille
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Moreirense
Sunday, April 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, April 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Marseille win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%).
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Benfica |
27.6% ( 0.01) | 23.06% | 49.35% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.67% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.87% ( 0) | 40.13% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.5% ( 0.01) | 62.5% ( -0.01) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.65% ( 0.01) | 27.35% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.19% ( 0.01) | 62.81% ( -0.01) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.52% ( -0) | 16.48% ( 0) |