Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 46.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 26.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Metz in this match.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Clermont |
46.69% ( -0.76) | 26.73% ( 0.02) | 26.58% ( 0.74) |
Both teams to score 48.1% ( 0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.75% ( 0.38) | 56.25% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.71% ( 0.3) | 77.29% ( -0.3) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.92% ( -0.19) | 24.08% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.64% ( -0.28) | 58.36% ( 0.28) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.36% ( 0.84) | 36.65% ( -0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.57% ( 0.83) | 73.44% ( -0.83) |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 12.56% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.53% Total : 46.69% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.83% Total : 26.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
6 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
16 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
17 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |