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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Metz logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Clermont Foot

Metz
1 - 0
Clermont

Mikautadze (33' pen.)
Jean Jacques (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Matsima (45'), Borges (54'), Carpini (60'), Gastien (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Metz
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-5 Marseille
Saturday, March 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Metz 1-1 Clermont

Metz will have taken plenty of confidence from returning to winning ways last weekend, and they will be viewing this match as the perfect opportunity to cut the gap to the teams ahead of them. However, Clermont should not be underestimated given their high performance levels last season, especially as this game could be their last chance saloon in terms of saving themselves from relegation. We can envisage a nervy draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 46.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 26.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Metz in this match.

Result
MetzDrawClermont
46.69% (-0.762 -0.76) 26.73% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 26.58% (0.742 0.74)
Both teams to score 48.1% (0.514 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.75% (0.375 0.38)56.25% (-0.371 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.71% (0.303 0.3)77.29% (-0.298 -0.3)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.92% (-0.193 -0.19)24.08% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.64% (-0.27999999999999 -0.28)58.36% (0.285 0.28)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.36% (0.838 0.84)36.65% (-0.833 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.57% (0.831 0.83)73.44% (-0.82599999999999 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Metz 46.69%
    Clermont 26.58%
    Draw 26.73%
MetzDrawClermont
1-0 @ 12.56% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 46.69%
1-1 @ 12.61% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.82% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 8.86% (0.074 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.159 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.136 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.099 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.062 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 26.58%

How you voted: Metz vs Clermont

Metz
47.8%
Draw
34.8%
Clermont
17.4%
23
Head to Head
Jan 5, 2024 7.45pm
Round of 64
Metz
1-1
Clermont
Clermont win 3-1 on penalties
Sane (22')
Allevinah (48')
Aug 27, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 3
Clermont
0-1
Metz

Cham (58')
Mikautadze (69')
Sabaly (83')
Apr 17, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 32
Metz
1-1
Clermont
De Preville (24')
Bronn (72')
Niane (40')
Dossou (37')
Ogier (84')
Aug 29, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 4
Clermont
2-2
Metz
Niakate (35' og.), Rashani (58')
Ogier (40')
Niane (10' pen.), Desmas (29' og.)
Sarr (30'), Alakouch (90+1')
Jan 18, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 21
Metz
1-2
Clermont
Maiga (58')
Cohade (45')
Aye (23'), Honorat (77')
Gastien (42'), N'Diaye (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.20am
Dolphins
@
Packers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille126421911822
5Nice1255223121120
6Lyon125431916319
7Auxerre126152119219
8Reims125342016418
9Lens124531312117
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg123452124-313
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Le HavreLe Havre124081023-1312
15Rennes123271319-611
16NantesNantes122461419-510
17Angers122461321-810
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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