Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.