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Championship | Gameweek 1
Jan 14, 2024 at 12pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
Watford logo

QPR
1 - 2
Watford

Dykes (77')
Field (5'), Paal (23'), Colback (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Livermore (60', 65')
Livermore (20'), Hoedt (45'), Dele-Bashiru (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Queens Park Rangers and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Queens Park Rangers 1-2 Watford

With both clubs having failed to impress of late, any result is possible, and QPR will hope that playing at home will help their cause. Nevertheless, we have to back Watford who will feel that they have a bit of momentum in their favour after the manner of their FA Cup win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Watford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawWatford
29.76% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 26.1% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 44.14% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.98% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.8% (0.059000000000005 0.06)52.2% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.09% (0.048999999999999 0.05)73.91% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.99% (0.018000000000001 0.02)32.01% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.53% (0.020999999999997 0.02)68.47% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46% (0.037999999999997 0.04)23.54% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.41% (0.055999999999997 0.06)57.59% (-0.061 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 29.76%
    Watford 44.13%
    Draw 26.1%
Queens Park RangersDrawWatford
1-0 @ 8.58% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.07%
2-0 @ 4.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 29.76%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 10.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.98% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.88%
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.8% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 44.13%

How you voted: QPR vs Watford

Queens Park Rangers
24.2%
Draw
15.2%
Watford
60.6%
33
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Watford
4-0
QPR
Dele-Bashiru (1'), Louza (20'), Martins (38'), Issouf Bayo (43')
Morris (45+1')

Armstrong (67'), Field (76')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
QPR
1-0
Watford
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Watford
2-3
QPR

Kamara (84'), Kabasele (90')
Adomah (70')
Dieng (81'), Dozzell (85')
Feb 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Watford
1-2
QPR
Deeney (52' pen.)
Sierralta (54'), Navarro (90+4')
Austin (73'), Adomah (90')
Wallace (34')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
QPR
1-1
Watford
Chair (77')
Dykes (90+1')
Wilmot (3')
Sema (59'), Cathcart (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Portsmouth2458113041-1123
23Hull City2658132536-1123
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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