Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Queen of the South in this match.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Arbroath |
45.04% ( -4.41) | 24.5% ( 0.32) | 30.46% ( 4.09) |
Both teams to score 57.62% ( 1.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.97% ( 1.12) | 45.03% ( -1.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.62% ( 1.07) | 67.38% ( -1.07) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.89% ( -1.38) | 20.11% ( 1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.64% ( -2.26) | 52.36% ( 2.26) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.12% ( 3.52) | 27.88% ( -3.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.5% ( 4.28) | 63.49% ( -4.28) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Arbroath |
2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.35) 1-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.86) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -1.04) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.41) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.75) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.38) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.91% Total : 45.04% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.49% | 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.73) 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.63) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.57) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.37) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.42) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.26) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |