FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 11, 2025 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Reading1 - 3Burnley
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Charlton 0-0 Reading
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
39
Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in Championship
We said: Reading 1-2 Burnley
Both teams will fancy their chances of success on Saturday, but Burnley will be regarded as favourites, even though their away record at Reading leaves little to be desired, and they should find a way to edge past their League One counterparts, even if Parker opts to make changes to his lineup. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Burnley |
35.28% ( -0.21) | 27.36% ( 0.06) | 37.36% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 49.73% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
