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Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
FC Dallas

Salt Lake
3 - 2
Dallas

Vera (11' pen.), Julio (24', 62')
Crooks (90'), Eneli (90+10')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ferreira (45+1'), Velasco (88' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 4-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, September 15 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 Dallas
Sunday, September 8 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Real Salt Lake 2-1 Dallas

Goals have been a regular feature of this fixture, and we can hardly see things changing on Thursday.   We are also backing Real Salt Lake to come away with maximum points come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 13.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawDallas
68.96% (0.715 0.72) 17.59% (-0.237 -0.24) 13.45% (-0.477 -0.48)
Both teams to score 55.91% (-0.513 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.84% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)35.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.83% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)57.17% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.76% (0.16500000000001 0.17)9.24% (-0.1639 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.76% (0.39100000000001 0.39)31.24% (-0.388 -0.39)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.6% (-0.678 -0.68)38.39% (0.67899999999999 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.85% (-0.654 -0.65)75.15% (0.65600000000001 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 68.96%
    Dallas 13.45%
    Draw 17.59%
Real Salt LakeDrawDallas
2-0 @ 10.06% (0.149 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.45% (0.064 0.06)
3-0 @ 7.99% (0.178 0.18)
3-1 @ 7.65% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.76% (0.141 0.14)
4-1 @ 4.55% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.27% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 2.18% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.17% (0.041 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 68.96%
1-1 @ 8.09% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 17.59%
1-2 @ 3.87% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-1 @ 3.4% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.63% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 13.45%

How you voted: Salt Lake vs Dallas

Real Salt Lake
78.9%
Draw
5.3%
Dallas
15.8%
19
Head to Head
May 26, 2024 1.30am
Dallas
3-3
Salt Lake
Illarramendi (45+4'), Delgado (57'), Arriola (59')
Fraser (38'), Paes (80'), Norris (81'), Ibeagha (86'), Ibeagha (87')
Luna (61'), Julio (73'), Palacio (90+8')
Sep 21, 2023 2.30am
Salt Lake
1-3
Dallas
Arango (43')
Kreilach (20'), Silva (60')
Arriola (56'), Ferreira (62' pen., 71')
Apr 16, 2023 1.30am
Aug 28, 2022 2am
Jul 24, 2022 3am
Salt Lake
0-1
Dallas

Ruiz (40'), Loffelsend (86'), Meram (86'), Glad (89')
Ferreira (14')
Velasco (22'), Obrian (85'), Ferreira (88'), Cerrillo (90+3'), Paes (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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