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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 67.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 14.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Southampton.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
67.28% ( 0.03) | 17.91% ( -0.01) | 14.82% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 58.69% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.57% ( 0) | 33.43% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.78% ( 0) | 55.22% ( -0) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.83% ( 0.01) | 9.17% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.93% ( 0.02) | 31.07% ( -0.01) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.61% ( -0.02) | 35.39% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.84% ( -0.02) | 72.16% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
2-1 @ 9.62% 2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.58% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.38% 5-1 @ 2.19% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.11% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 4.82% Total : 67.28% | 1-1 @ 8.05% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.24% 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 17.91% | 1-2 @ 4.18% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.37% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 14.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 48 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 48 |
3 | Burnley | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 21 | 47 |
4 | Sunderland | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 44 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 38 |
6 | Watford | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 37 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 36 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 35 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 33 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 30 |
11 | Bristol City | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 30 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 29 |
13 | Millwall | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 28 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 27 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 27 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 25 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 25 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Portsmouth | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 20 |
22 | Hull City | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 19 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 18 |
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