MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 20:44:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Southampton logo
Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 6pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Southampton
2 - 1
Plymouth

Alcaraz (56'), Adams (63')
Smallbone (40'), Manning (44'), Alcaraz (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hardie (90+1')
Mumba (13'), Edwards (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Southampton and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 5-0 Swansea
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-2 Plymouth
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 4-1 Plymouth Argyle

With Plymouth having collected points in their recent matches, the pressure is off to a certain extent. However, Southampton look unbeatable at present and, while we expect the visitors to be competitive for a time, the home side should eventually cruise to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 67.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 14.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Southampton.

Result
SouthamptonDrawPlymouth Argyle
67.28% (0.025000000000006 0.03) 17.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 14.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.57% (0.0039999999999907 0)33.43% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.78% (0.0039999999999978 0)55.22% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.83% (0.010000000000005 0.01)9.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)31.07% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)35.39% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.84% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)72.16% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 67.28%
    Plymouth Argyle 14.82%
    Draw 17.91%
SouthamptonDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.62%
2-0 @ 9.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 7.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 4.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 4.41% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.38%
5-1 @ 2.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.11% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-2 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.82%
Total : 67.28%
1-1 @ 8.05% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-0 @ 3.24%
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 17.91%
1-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 3.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 14.82%

How you voted: Southampton vs Plymouth

Southampton
74.6%
Draw
5.6%
Plymouth Argyle
19.7%
71
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Plymouth
1-2
Southampton
Hardie (51')
Scarr (10'), Hardie (58')
Tella (49'), Adams (90+4')
Armstrong (30'), Charles (42'), Manning (74'), Stephens (90+1')
May 2, 2011 3pm
Plymouth
1-3
Southampton
Bolasie (90')
Walton (52')
Dickson (49'), Lambert (45', 59')
Jaidi (45')
Dec 26, 2008 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Southampton
Summerfield (52' pen.), Fallon (38')
MacLean (79')

Davis (51'), Lancashire (51'), Skacel (51')
Nov 25, 2008 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!