Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for an Altrincham win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Altrincham |
59.64% ( 4.34) | 21.61% ( -1.39) | 18.74% ( -2.96) |
Both teams to score 54.08% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.47% ( 2.05) | 43.53% ( -2.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.08% ( 1.99) | 65.92% ( -1.99) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.79% ( 2.13) | 14.21% ( -2.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.06% ( 4.01) | 41.94% ( -4.01) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.04% ( -1.84) | 36.96% ( 1.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.25% ( -1.88) | 73.75% ( 1.88) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Altrincham |
1-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.82) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.52) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.6) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.46) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.16) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.31) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.26) Other @ 2.87% Total : 59.63% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.67) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.61% | 0-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.78) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.62) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.54) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.51% Total : 18.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
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