Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Feb 29, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon2 - 1Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rio Ave 3-3 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, February 25 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, February 25 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Portimonense
Sunday, February 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, February 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Benfica
The spoils could be shared in this latest instalment of the Lisbon derby, leaving it all to play for when the reverse fixture comes around in April. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
50.46% ( -0.09) | 23.51% ( 0.03) | 26.03% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.66% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
