Toulouse1 - 3Marseille
We said: Toulouse 1-3 Marseille
If the first two games are anything to go by, De Zerbi's Marseille will be a very entertaining watch this season for the neutrals, and that could continue here on the road. Toulouse's woeful record against Marseille does not bode well, and after not showing enough in the final third to win either of their opening two matches, they may come up short here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Marseille |
27.72% ( 0.07) | 26.06% ( 0.03) | 46.22% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 50.86% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.93% ( -0.07) | 53.07% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.35% ( -0.06) | 74.65% ( 0.06) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.99% ( 0.02) | 34.01% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.31% ( 0.02) | 70.69% ( -0.02) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.07% ( -0.08) | 22.93% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.3% ( -0.11) | 56.7% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.77% 3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 27.72% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 46.22% |
