MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 04:18:17| >> :120:25041:25041:
Union Berlin logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
Helsingin olympiastadion
Real Madrid logo

Union Berlin
2 - 3
Real Madrid

Volland (45+1'), Kral (85')
Khedira (35'), Laidouni (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Joselu (61', 72'), Ceballos (89')
Bellingham (35'), Alaba (55')

The Match

Match Report

Real Madrid claim a narrow 3-2 win over Union Berlin in their final Champions League group game to end the German side's European journey.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Union Berlin and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Union Berlin and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Tuesday's Champions League clash with Union Berlin.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Union Berlin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 63.61%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 16.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawReal Madrid
16.34% (0.0030000000000001 0) 20.05%63.61% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.5% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.42% (0.00099999999999767 0)40.58% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.04% (0.0020000000000024 0)62.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.02% (0.0049999999999955 0)37.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.25% (0.0040000000000013 0)74.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)12.12% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.31% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)37.69% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 16.34%
    Real Madrid 63.61%
    Draw 20.05%
Union BerlinDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 4.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 4.46%
2-0 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.55% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 1.47% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 16.34%
1-1 @ 9.4%
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.05%
0-2 @ 10.25%
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 7.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 6.98%
0-4 @ 3.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 3.68%
2-3 @ 3.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.78%
0-5 @ 1.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.56%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 63.61%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Real Madrid

Union Berlin
9.8%
Draw
12.1%
Real Madrid
78.2%
174
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