La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia2 - 2Real Madrid
Reaction
Real Madrid slam "unprecedented" decision over disallowed Jude Bellingham goal
Real Madrid blast referee Gil Manzano for his "unprecedented" to deny Jude Bellingham a last-minute winner in Saturday's 2-2 draw with Valencia in La Liga.
Mar 3, 12:16
La Liga 'investigating fresh claims of racial abuse towards Vinicius Junior'
Fresh claims of racist abuse towards Vinicius Junior in Real Madrid's 2-2 draw with Valencia are being investigated by La Liga, according to a report.
Mar 4, 12:18
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Valencia.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Valencia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Valencia 0-0 Sevilla
Saturday, February 17 at 8pm in La Liga
Saturday, February 17 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-0 Sevilla
Sunday, February 25 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, February 25 at 8pm in La Liga
We said: Valencia 1-2 Real Madrid
Valencia will certainly be the fresher of the two sides, and Los Che have won seven of their 12 home league matches this season, losing just twice. Real Madrid have been excellent on their travels in La Liga this term, though, and we are backing Ancelotti's side to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 50.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 24.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Real Madrid |
24.16% ( 0.01) | 25.45% ( 0.06) | 50.39% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 49.65% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
