Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Empoli |
44.2% ( 1.41) | 25.7% ( -0.01) | 30.1% ( -1.4) |
Both teams to score 53.43% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.59% ( -0.54) | 50.41% ( 0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.66% ( -0.48) | 72.34% ( 0.48) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.26% ( 0.44) | 22.73% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.59% ( 0.64) | 56.41% ( -0.65) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.16% ( -1.24) | 30.84% ( 1.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.88% ( -1.49) | 67.12% ( 1.49) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Empoli |
1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.19% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.01% Total : 30.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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