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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 72.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 10.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 3-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 0-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | FC Volendam |
72.97% ( 0.09) | 16.53% ( -0.2) | 10.5% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 49.78% ( 1.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.84% ( 1.31) | 38.15% ( -1.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.57% ( 1.38) | 60.43% ( -1.38) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.92% ( 0.35) | 9.08% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.13% ( 0.83) | 30.86% ( -0.84) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.75% ( 1.09) | 45.24% ( -1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.87% ( 0.85) | 81.13% ( -0.85) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.36) 1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.45) 3-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.14) 5-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.11) 6-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.07% Total : 72.97% | 1-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.89% Total : 16.53% | 0-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.87% Total : 10.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
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