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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Heracles |
51.6% ( -0.12) | 23% ( 0.07) | 25.41% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 58.81% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.33% ( -0.24) | 41.67% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.93% ( -0.24) | 64.08% ( 0.25) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.76% ( -0.13) | 16.24% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.25% ( -0.24) | 45.76% ( 0.24) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.21% ( -0.08) | 29.79% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.14% ( -0.1) | 65.86% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Heracles |
2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 51.6% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 25.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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