Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
Nov 25, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium
Wellington1 - 0Melbourne City
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Wellington
Friday, November 10 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Friday, November 10 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 3-3 Macarthur
Sunday, November 12 at 4am in Australian A-League
Sunday, November 12 at 4am in Australian A-League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.01%) and 1-3 (5.96%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne City |
29.61% ( -0.11) | 21.71% ( 0.13) | 48.68% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 67.26% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
