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Wrexham AFC
League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Crawley Town

Wrexham
2 - 1
Crawley

Lee (24'), Cleworth (79')
Dobson (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Quitirna (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Wrexham and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 3-1 Wrexham
Monday, September 16 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Stockport
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 3-1 Crawley Town

Wrexham have won all four competitive home games this season by a combined 11-3 scoreline, and we think that they will make full use of their dominance on home turf to sweep past Crawley at the Racecourse Ground. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawCrawley Town
51.67% (0.081999999999994 0.08) 23.12% (-0.026 -0.03) 25.21% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 58.19% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.6% (0.073999999999998 0.07)42.4% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.2% (0.074000000000005 0.07)64.8% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.52% (0.057000000000002 0.06)16.48% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.81% (0.101 0.1)46.19% (-0.1 -0.1)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.33% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)66.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 51.67%
    Crawley Town 25.21%
    Draw 23.12%
WrexhamDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.12% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.88% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 51.67%
1-1 @ 10.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.12%
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 25.21%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Crawley

Wrexham
94.1%
Draw
2.9%
Crawley Town
2.9%
34
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Wrexham
4-1
Crawley
Barnett (21'), Mullin (23', 82'), Cannon (76')
Bolton (90+5')
Lolas (90+4')
Maguire (31')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Crawley
0-1
Wrexham

Wright (70'), Gordon (90+2')
Palmer (13')
Palmer (33'), Mendy (43'), McClean (45+1'), Hayden (76'), Fletcher (82'), O'Connor (90+7')
Cannon (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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