Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 52.06%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Puebla win it was 1-0 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.