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Major League Soccer
Jun 22, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Nashville

Montreal
1 - 0
Nashville

Duke (27')
Corbo (13'), Wanyama (20')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 4-0 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, June 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 3-1 St Louis City
Sunday, June 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 0-1 Nashville SC

Montreal's form at home may be a little deceiving, as all of their victories this year at Saputo Stadium have come against lower-tiered teams or MLS sides currently outside of the playoff picture, as they have beaten up on teams with poor defensive records. The Boys in Gold, meanwhile, have been nearly impossible to get through most of the year, while their star player has looked unstoppable in recent matches, which is why we are tipping Nashville to extend their unbeaten run to 11 games.

How to watch

You can watch CF Montreal vs. Nashville SC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 23.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CF Montreal in this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawNashville SC
48.86% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04) 27.26% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 23.88% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 44.4% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.13% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)59.86% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)80.14% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)24.65% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.83% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)59.17% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.92% (0.024999999999999 0.02)41.07% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.38% (0.021000000000001 0.02)77.62% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 48.85%
    Nashville SC 23.88%
    Draw 27.25%
CF MontrealDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 14.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.84%
4-0 @ 1.62% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 48.85%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 3.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 9.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 23.88%

How you voted: Montreal vs Nashville

CF Montreal
16.0%
Draw
36.0%
Nashville SC
48.0%
25
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 1.30am
May 19, 2022 1.30am
Sep 12, 2021 1am
Gameweek 32
Montreal
0-1
Nashville
Bassong (44')
Williams (41'), Anunga (58'), Willis (85')
Jun 27, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 13
Nashville
1-1
Montreal
Danladi (90+4')
Lovitz (89')
Struna (63')
Camacho (33'), Toye (42'), Miller (84')
Apr 24, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 2
Nashville
2-2
Montreal
Cadiz (54'), Williams (77')
Godoy (50'), Muyl (56')
Toye (13'), Brault-Guillard (42')
Piette (2'), Quioto (48'), Struna (63')
rhs 2.0
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