National League South | Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
Treyew Road
Truro City2 - 1Hornchurch
Coverage of the National League South clash between Truro City and AFC Hornchurch.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-0 Truro City
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: Aveley 1-1 Hornchurch
Thursday, December 26 at 1pm in National League South
Thursday, December 26 at 1pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
25
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Truro City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Truro City | Draw | AFC Hornchurch |
38.21% ( -0.33) | 27.12% ( -0.1) | 34.67% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 50.42% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
