National League South | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 1pm UK
Parkside Stadium
Aveley1 - 1Hornchurch
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and AFC Hornchurch.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bath City 3-0 Aveley
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Hornchurch 1-2 Chippenham
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aveley | Draw | AFC Hornchurch |
30.35% ( 0.19) | 25.52% ( -0.05) | 44.13% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 54.13% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.44% ( 0.3) | 49.55% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.42% ( 0.27) | 71.58% ( -0.27) |
Aveley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.76% ( 0.29) | 30.24% ( -0.29) |