Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidenhead United would win this match.