Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 54.52%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 22.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
