Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Annan Athletic |
45.58% ( 0.03) | 24.65% ( -0.01) | 29.77% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.7% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.94% ( 0.02) | 46.06% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.64% ( 0.02) | 68.36% ( -0.02) |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.71% ( 0.03) | 20.29% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.34% ( 0.04) | 52.66% ( -0.03) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.14% ( -0) | 28.87% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.27% ( -0.01) | 64.73% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Annan Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 45.58% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Montrose | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |