Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
39.27% ( -0.01) | 24.42% ( -0.02) | 36.32% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 59.84% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.05% ( 0.12) | 42.95% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.65% ( 0.12) | 65.35% ( -0.11) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.11% ( 0.04) | 21.89% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.86% ( 0.07) | 55.14% ( -0.07) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.6% ( 0.08) | 23.4% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.62% ( 0.11) | 57.38% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.51% Total : 39.27% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 36.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Montrose | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |