Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Spezia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Palermo 1-0 Bari
Thursday, December 26 at 5pm in Serie B
Thursday, December 26 at 5pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Spezia 1-1 Mantova
Thursday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B
Thursday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
29
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 35.69%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.01%) and 2-1 (7%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (13.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bari | Draw | Spezia |
35.69% ( 0.32) | 30.54% ( 0.22) | 33.77% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 40.72% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
