Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Jun 22, 2024 at 9pm UK
Estadio Centenario
ProgresoP-PPenarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensor 1-1 Progreso
Sunday, June 16 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, June 16 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
27
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Progreso win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result | ||
Progreso | Draw | Penarol |
25.99% ( -0.02) | 25.58% ( -0) | 48.43% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.98% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.73% ( -0.01) | 52.26% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.03% ( -0) | 73.96% ( 0) |
Progreso Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.02% ( -0.02) | 34.98% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.28% ( -0.02) | 71.72% ( 0.02) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.4% ( 0.01) | 21.59% ( -0.01) |