MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 02:24:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 25
Jul 16, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
1 - 3
Boca Juniors

Castillo (90')
Bazzi (20'), Lescano (85'), Ramirez (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Merentiel (39'), Medina (74'), Benedetto (76')
Fabra (24'), Fernandez (28'), Benedetto (88'), Varela (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Boca Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tucuman 2-0 Gimnasia
Wednesday, July 12 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Huracan
Monday, July 10 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Gimnasia 1-1 Boca Juniors

As Boca have not fared well on the road - winning just three away games in the league this year - Gimnasia can make their defensive solidity at El Bosque pay this weekend. The hosts have conceded just eight times in 11 home matches, so a share of the spoils could be on the cards for Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 31.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.22%) and 2-1 (6.6%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (13.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
GimnasiaDrawBoca Juniors
35.82% (0.537 0.54) 31.87% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 32.32% (-0.573 -0.57)
Both teams to score 37.41% (-0.141 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.45% (-0.136 -0.14)70.55% (0.13900000000001 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.42% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)87.58% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.44% (0.297 0.3)37.55% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.66% (0.289 0.29)74.34% (-0.286 -0.29)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.91% (-0.511 -0.51)40.09% (0.515 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.26% (-0.473 -0.47)76.74% (0.474 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 35.81%
    Boca Juniors 32.31%
    Draw 31.85%
GimnasiaDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 14.74% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 7.22% (0.151 0.15)
2-1 @ 6.6% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.36% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.16% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 35.81%
0-0 @ 15.05% (0.07 0.07)
1-1 @ 13.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.02% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 31.85%
0-1 @ 13.76% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 6.29% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 0.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 32.31%

How you voted: Gimnasia vs Boca Juniors

Gimnasia
0.0%
Draw
22.2%
Boca Juniors
77.8%
9
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 23
Gimnasia
1-2
Boca Juniors
Morales (57')
Fabra (38'), Langoni (66')
Oct 31, 2021 12.15am
Second Phase
Boca Juniors
0-1
Gimnasia
Pavon (90+2')
Cecchini (64')
Aleman (67')
Feb 14, 2021 10.20pm
First Phase
Boca Juniors
2-2
Gimnasia
Izquierdoz (42'), Cardona (85')
Varela (66'), Medina (90+1')
Guiffrey (45+1'), Aleman (63')
Mar 8, 2020 12am
Gameweek 23
Boca Juniors
1-0
Gimnasia
Tevez (73')
Fabra (18'), Tevez (74'), Salvio (81'), Capaldo (90')

Goltz (67'), Licht (86'), Ayala (90')
Oct 27, 2018 9.15pm
Gameweek 10
Gimnasia
2-1
Boca Juniors
Faravelli (11'), Comba (49')
Rinaudo (20'), Bonifacio (87')
Espinoza (44')
Reynoso (18'), Mas (38'), Cardona (41'), Goltz (45'), Gago (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield20116333141939
2HuracanHuracan209922091136
3UnionUnion209652318533
4TalleresTalleres208932420433
5Atletico TucumanTucuman219662121033
6Racing ClubRacing209472820831
7River PlateRiver Plate2079424141030
8Instituto208572519629
9Deportivo Riestra208572222029
10Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2061042219328
11EstudiantesEstudiantes207762321228
12Platense207761716128
13IndependienteIndependiente2051231613327
14TigreTigre206862523226
15BelgranoBelgrano206862323026
16Rosario CentralRosario216782321225
17GimnasiaGimnasia206771919025
18Boca Juniors206772122-125
19Independiente Rivadavia216781421-725
20San Lorenzo206681618-224
21Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs206591620-423
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba206592227-523
23LanusLanus205872027-723
24Sarmiento214981521-621
25BanfieldBanfield205691926-721
26Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB205691324-1121
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa204791729-1219
28Barracas Central2037101024-1416


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