MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 07:25:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Hoffenheim logo

Holstein Kiel
1 - 3
Hoffenheim

Yobel Kelati (84')
Knudsen (53'), Weiner (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hlozek (26', 56'), Kramaric (45+1')
Chaves (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 4-2 Dortmund
Tuesday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 5-0 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Hoffenheim

While Hoffenheim are yet to record a win on the road this season, their stellar record against newly-promoted teams in their travels – as well as the leaky defence of the hosts at home – stands them in good stead to claim their first victory away from home this term. Therefore, we reckon the visitors will register a 2-1 victory – their first away win of the season at the Holstein-Stadion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Holstein KielDrawHoffenheim
45.67% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 22.7% (0.215 0.22) 31.63% (-0.177 -0.18)
Both teams to score 64.76% (-0.916 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.09% (-1.16 -1.16)35.91% (1.158 1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42% (-1.288 -1.29)58% (1.287 1.29)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.76% (-0.46299999999999 -0.46)16.23% (0.46 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.25% (-0.848 -0.85)45.75% (0.845 0.84)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31% (-0.664 -0.66)22.68% (0.66 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.67% (-0.988 -0.99)56.33% (0.98500000000001 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 45.67%
    Hoffenheim 31.64%
    Draw 22.7%
Holstein KielDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.064 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.7% (0.28 0.28)
2-0 @ 6.09% (0.162 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.06% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 45.67%
1-1 @ 9.93% (0.225 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.7% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3.68% (0.208 0.21)
3-3 @ 2.01% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 7.37% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.46% (0.207 0.21)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 31.64%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs Hoffenheim

Holstein Kiel
47.5%
Draw
20.0%
Hoffenheim
32.5%
40
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Hoffenheim
3-2
Holstein Kiel
Kramaric (6' pen., 37', 87')
Hlozek (14'), Moerstedt (90+3')
Bernhardsson (63'), Machino (89')
Weiner (5'), Yobel Kelati (81')
Yobel Kelati (82')
Oct 26, 2021 5.30pm
Second Round
Hoffenheim
5-1
Holstein Kiel
Van den Bergh (3' og.), Wahl (31' og.), Stiller (59'), Dabour (72'), Bruun Larsen (84')
Akpoguma (46')
Neumann (47')
Lorenz (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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