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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Hoffenheim |
45.67% ( -0.04) | 22.7% ( 0.22) | 31.63% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 64.76% ( -0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.09% ( -1.16) | 35.91% ( 1.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42% ( -1.29) | 58% ( 1.29) |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.76% ( -0.46) | 16.23% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.25% ( -0.85) | 45.75% ( 0.84) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.31% ( -0.66) | 22.68% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.67% ( -0.99) | 56.33% ( 0.99) |
Score Analysis |
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.82% Total : 45.67% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.21% Total : 31.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
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