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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Stoke City |
38.03% | 27.49% | 34.48% |
Both teams to score 49.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.6% | 56.4% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.59% | 77.41% |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.29% | 28.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.46% | 64.54% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.09% | 30.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.8% | 67.2% |
Score Analysis |
Nottingham Forest | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 11.07% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.66% Total : 38.03% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.88% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 7.63% 0-2 @ 6.12% 1-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.06% Total : 34.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
> Championship Full Table |