MX23RW : Friday, November 8 07:36:58| >> :60:349:349:
Copa Sudamericana | First Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 15, 2022 at 10.15pm UK
 

Metropolitanos
4 - 0
Estudiantes

Flores (34'), Ortiz (88'), Guaramato (90' og.), Cova (90+2')
Larotonda (26'), Ferro (64'), Annese (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Penilla (37'), Pena (52'), Araque (77')
Araque (22'), Vargas (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Metropolitanos and Estudiantes Merida.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metropolitanos

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Last Game: Lanus 1-0 Metropolitanos
Wednesday, May 25 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Estudiantes Merida

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Last Game: Metropolitanos 4-0 Estudiantes
Tuesday, March 15 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metropolitanos win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Estudiantes Merida had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metropolitanos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Estudiantes Merida win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metropolitanos would win this match.

Result
MetropolitanosDrawEstudiantes Merida
44.89%23.31%31.79%
Both teams to score 62.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.14%38.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.82%61.17%
Metropolitanos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.31%17.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.67%48.33%
Estudiantes Merida Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98%24.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72%58.27%
Score Analysis
    Metropolitanos 44.89%
    Estudiantes Merida 31.79%
    Draw 23.31%
MetropolitanosDrawEstudiantes Merida
2-1 @ 9.09%
1-0 @ 7.36%
2-0 @ 6.37%
3-1 @ 5.25%
3-2 @ 3.74%
3-0 @ 3.68%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-2 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.59%
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 44.89%
1-1 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 6.48%
0-0 @ 4.25%
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.31%
1-2 @ 7.49%
0-1 @ 6.06%
0-2 @ 4.32%
1-3 @ 3.56%
2-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 31.79%

Head to Head
Mar 8, 2022 10.15pm
Estudiantes
0-2
Metropolitanos

Penilla (13')
Araujo (30'), Annese (71')
Larotonda (23'), Fuentes (62')
Fuentes (77')
rhs 2.0
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