Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 48.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Granada had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Granada | Draw | Real Sociedad |
24.62% ( 0.19) | 27.2% ( 0.16) | 48.18% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 45.2% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.83% ( -0.41) | 59.17% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.39% ( -0.32) | 79.6% ( 0.31) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60% ( -0.06) | 40% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.35% ( -0.05) | 76.65% ( 0.05) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.34% ( -0.34) | 24.66% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.81% ( -0.48) | 59.19% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Granada | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 9.04% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.77% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.36% Total : 24.62% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 13.8% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 48.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |