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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Cheltenham
1 - 3
Bristol Rovers

Sercombe (90+4')
Smith (7'), Shepherd (13'), Ferry (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sinclair (12'), Aguilera (56'), Baggott (77')
Hunt (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Reading
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-0 Bristol Rovers

A closely-contested match between two out-of-form teams is in store this weekend, but taking into account the visitors' struggles in front of goal and the hosts' necessity to collect all three points in their quest to avoid the drop, we believe that Cheltenham will find a way to come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawBristol Rovers
39.08% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07) 25.96% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 34.95% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 54.23% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.89% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)50.11% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.92% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)72.08% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)25.17% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.1% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)59.89% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (0.015000000000001 0.02)27.52% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97% (0.019000000000005 0.02)63.03% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 39.09%
    Bristol Rovers 34.95%
    Draw 25.96%
Cheltenham TownDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.56% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 39.09%
1-1 @ 12.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.93% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.95% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.77% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.48% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 34.95%

Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Cheltenham
Hunt (50')
Hunt (45+4')
Goodwin (28')
Lloyd (59'), Freestone (78'), Butler-Oyedeji (90+1')
Sep 5, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Bristol Rovers
4-1
Cheltenham
Gibbons (9'), Evans (27'), Collins (40'), Street (68' og.)
McCormick (48')
Gibbons (50' og.)
Adshead (63'), Willcox (72'), Chapman (84')
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Cheltenham
Collins (25'), Coburn (39')
May (48')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Cheltenham
1-4
Bristol Rovers
Sercombe (54' pen.)
Collins (15', 45+2'), Evans (23'), Thomas (42')
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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