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League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 2pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Lincoln City

Northampton
0 - 1
Lincoln


Eyoma (59'), Fosu (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Darikwa (38')
House (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Northampton
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Bolton
Tuesday, January 14 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Northampton Town 1-2 Lincoln City

With Northampton having finally got another win on the board, they have the momentum heading into this contest. However, given that they only defeated the bottom-placed side, we are backing the visitors to edge this fixture and secure a morale-boosting three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 47.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lincoln City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lincoln City.

Result
Northampton TownDrawLincoln City
26.45% (0.231 0.23) 26.53% (0.113 0.11) 47.02% (-0.344 -0.34)
Both teams to score 48.56% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.4% (-0.275 -0.27)55.6% (0.27399999999999 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.24% (-0.225 -0.23)76.76% (0.223 0.22)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.6% (0.044999999999995 0.04)36.4% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.81% (0.047000000000001 0.05)73.19% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.36% (-0.28 -0.28)23.64% (0.28 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.27% (-0.404 -0.4)57.73% (0.403 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 26.45%
    Lincoln City 47.02%
    Draw 26.53%
Northampton TownDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.102 0.1)
2-1 @ 6.34% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.39% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.14% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.48% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 26.45%
1-1 @ 12.54% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.61% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 12.41% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.04% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.95% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.35% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.3% (-0.061000000000001 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 47.02%

How you voted: Northampton vs Lincoln

Northampton Town
12.5%
Draw
12.5%
Lincoln City
75.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Lincoln
2-1
Northampton
Hamer (18'), Ring (88')
House (43'), Draper (89'), Wickens (90+4')
Fosu (2')
Baldwin (17'), Brady (18'), Roberts (35'), McGeehan (62'), Guthrie (90+3'), Guinness-Walker (90+4')
Roberts (75')
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Lincoln
1-2
Northampton
Eyoma (61')
Bishop (41')
O'Connor (76')
Guthrie (30'), Bowie (58')
Hondermarck (25'), Brady (26'), Bowie (45+2'), Simpson (90+4'), Hylton (90+9'), Odimayo (90')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Northampton
2-2
Lincoln
Appere (86'), Hoskins (90+8')
Hoskins (80')
Hackett (22'), O'Connor (78')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 25
Lincoln
2-1
Northampton
McGrandles (75'), Scully (84')
Bridcutt (77')
Rose (90+6')
Jones (36')
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 19
Northampton
0-4
Lincoln

Bolger (56')
Scully (2'), Hopper (42'), Johnson (83', 90+8')
Montsma (36'), Hopper (73'), Scully (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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