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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for MK Dons has a probability of 32.37% and a draw has a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest MK Dons win is 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.61%).
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
32.37% ( -0.45) | 26.52% ( 0.02) | 41.1% ( 0.44) |
Both teams to score 51.79% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.03% ( -0.18) | 52.97% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.43% ( -0.15) | 74.57% ( 0.15) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.43% ( -0.39) | 30.57% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.19% ( -0.47) | 66.8% ( 0.47) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.59% ( 0.15) | 25.4% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.78% ( 0.21) | 60.21% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.37% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.42% Total : 41.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 34 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 33 |
14 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
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