Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 54.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Angers had a probability of 21.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Auxerre in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Auxerre.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Angers |
54.68% ( -0.74) | 23.54% ( 0.35) | 21.77% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 52.62% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.18% ( -1.02) | 47.81% ( 1.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.99% ( -0.94) | 70% ( 0.93) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.63% ( -0.64) | 17.36% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.23% ( -1.12) | 47.76% ( 1.11) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.68% ( -0.19) | 36.31% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.9% ( -0.2) | 73.09% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Angers |
1-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.66% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.71% Total : 54.67% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.54% | 0-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.81% Total : 21.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Brest | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 25 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |