MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 15:55:36| >> :120:22822:22822:
Aston Villa logo
Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Ajax

Aston Villa
4 - 0
Ajax

Watkins (25'), Bailey (60'), Duran (75'), Diaby (81')
Rogers (11'), Watkins (19')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mannsverk (14')
Mannsverk (66')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa record a 4-0 win over Ajax to reach the Europa Conference League quarter-finals.

Team News

Unai Emery makes four changes to his Aston Villa XI for Thursday's Europa Conference League fixture against Ajax.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Aston Villa and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.49%) and 3-2 (5.05%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawAjax
44.42% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 20.78%34.8% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 73.64% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.05% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)24.95% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.15% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)44.85% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.58% (0.012999999999991 0.01)12.42% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.67% (0.030999999999999 0.03)38.33% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.08% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)15.91% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.84% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)45.16% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 44.42%
    Ajax 34.8%
    Draw 20.78%
Aston VillaDrawAjax
2-1 @ 7.9% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 5.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.3% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.61% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 44.42%
1-1 @ 7.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 7.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 3.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 1.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 20.78%
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.63%
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 34.8%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Ajax

Aston Villa
79.5%
Draw
8.6%
Ajax
11.9%
151
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2024 5.45pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Ajax
0-0
Aston Villa
Mannsverk (24'), Gooijer (68')
Gooijer (86')
Konsa (25'), Cash (64'), Zaniolo (76')
Konsa (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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